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Analyzing Strategic Behavior in Business and Economics


Analyzing Strategic Behavior in Business and Economics

A Game Theory Primer

von: Thomas J. Webster

CHF 47.00

Verlag: Lexington Books
Format: EPUB
Veröffentl.: 07.02.2014
ISBN/EAN: 9780739186053
Sprache: englisch
Anzahl Seiten: 299

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Beschreibungen

<span><span>This textbook is an introduction to game theory, which is the systematic analysis of decision-making in interactive settings. Game theory can be of great value to business managers. The ability to correctly anticipate countermove by rival firms in competitive and cooperative settings enables managers to make more effective marketing, advertising, pricing, and other business decisions to optimally achieve the firm’s objectives. Game theory does not always accurately predict how rivals will act in strategic situations, but does identify a decision maker’s best response to situations involving move and countermove. As Nobel Prize winner Thomas Shelling noted: “We may wish to understand how participants actually do conduct themselves in conflict situations; an understanding of the ‘correct’ play may give us a bench mark for the study of actual behavior.” The concise and axiomatic approach to the material presented in this textbook is easily accessible to students with a background in the principles of microeconomics and college mathematics. The selection and organizations of topics makes the textbook appropriate for use in a wide range of curricula by students with different backgrounds. </span></span>
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<span></span>
<span><span>This innovative textbook is a concise and axiomatic introduction to the principles of game theory—the formal study of move and countermove. Undergraduate business and economics students with a background in the principles of microeconomics and college mathematics will find the material presented in this textbook focused, comprehensive, and accessible. </span></span>
<br>
<span></span>
<span><span>PREFACE</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>1INTRODUCTION TO GAME THEORY</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Strategic behavior</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Short history of game theory</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Lexicon of game theory</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Rational versus actual behavior</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>PART I: STATIC GAMES WITH COMPLETE INFORMATION</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>2COALITION GAMES</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Prisoner’s dilemma</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>The extensive form</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>The normal form</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Nash equilibrium</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Shortcut for finding-pure strategy Nash equilibria</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Determinants of business collusion</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Number of firms with similar interests</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Firm size relative to the industry</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Visibility</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>3STRATEGIC MOVES AND DETERRING DEFECTION</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Strategic moves</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Deterring defection</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Contracts</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Reputation</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Cutting off communications</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Preventing retreat</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Brinksmanship</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Incrementalism</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Teamwork</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Agents</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>4COMPETITION GAMES</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Strictly-dominant strategies</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Weakly-dominant strategies</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Iterated elimination of dominated strategies</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Three-player games</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Non-dominant strategies</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Maximin (secure) strategy</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>5COORDINATION GAMES</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Battle-of-the-sexes game</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Focal-point equilibrium</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Developing a theory of focal-point equilibria</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Framing</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>6INFINITELY-REPEATED GAMES</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Coalitions</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Repeated static games</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Trigger strategies</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Evaluating payoffs in infinitely-repeated games</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>7FINITELY-REPEATED GAMES</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Finitely-repeated games with a certain end</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>End-of-game problem</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Finitely-repeated games with an uncertain end</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>A word of caution</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Concluding remarks</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>8EVOLUTION GAMES</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Evolutionary game theory</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Reproductive success</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Evolutionary equilibrium</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Networks</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Positive feedback effects</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Network game</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Implications</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>9TIT-FOR-TAT</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Tit-for-tat</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>End-of-game problem</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>10MIXING PURE STRATEGIES</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Zero-sum games</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Matching pennies</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Minimax theorem</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Mixed strategies</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Optimal mixing rules</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Calculating optimal mixing rules</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>When to use optimal mixing rules</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>How to use optimal mixing rules</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Bluffing</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>11.CONTINUOUS STRATEGIES</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Continuous strategies</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Best-response (reaction) functions</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Tragedy of the commons</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Shifting best-response functions</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>12.STATIC OLIGOPOLY GAMES</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Cournot model</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Advertising in a Cournot setting</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Bertrand model</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Bertrand paradox</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>13.STRATEGIC TRADE POLICY</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Discrete pure strategies</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Continuous pure strategies</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>National welfare</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Intraindustry trade</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Imperfect competition</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Intraindustry coalitions</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Export subsidies</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Reciprocity</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>14.PRODUCT DIFFERENTIATION</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Horizontal differentiation</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Vertical differentiation</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Location</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Product differences</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>15.STRATEGIC COMPLEMENTS</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Double marginalization</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>PART II: DYNAMIC GAMES WITH COMPLETE AND PERFECT INFORMATION</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>16.GAME TREES</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Game trees</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Subgame perfection</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Backward induction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Credible threats</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>First-mover advantage</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Entry deterrence</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>17.A DYNAMIC OLIGOPOLY GAME</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Stackelberg model</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>18.BARGAINING</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>The bargaining problem</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Ultimatum bargaining</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Ultimatum paradox</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Nash bargaining</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Rubenstein bargaining</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Last-mover’s advantage</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Symmetric impatience</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Asymmetric impatience</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>PART III: GAMES WITH INCOMPLETE INFORMATION</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>19.DECISION MAKING AND UNCERTAINTY</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Risk and uncertainty</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Static games with uncertain payoffs</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Static games in extensive form</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Dynamic games with uncertain payoffs</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Attitudes towards risk</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Risk aversion</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Understanding risk-averse behavior</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>20.ADVERSE SELECTION</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>The market for lemons</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>21.INCENTIVE CONTRACTS</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Principal-agent problem</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Incentive contracts</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Principal-agent problem with moral hazard</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>PART IV: GAMES WITH IMPERFECT INFORMATION </span></span>
<br>
<span><span>22.INFORMATION SETS</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Information sets</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Bayesian updating</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>23.AUCTIONS</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Types of auctions</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Information structures</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Complete-information auctions</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Sealed-bid, first-price auction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Sealed-bid, second-price auction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>English auction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Dutch auction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Expected revenues from complete-information auctions</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Incomplete-information auctions with independent private values</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Sealed-bid, first-price auction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Sealed-bid, second-price auction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>English auction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Dutch auction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Expected revenues from incomplete-information auctions with independent private values</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Incomplete-information auctions with correlated value estimates</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Common-value auctions and the winner’s curse</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Incomplete-information auctions and risk aversion</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>24.SIGNALING</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Spence education game</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Pooling strategy</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Separating strategy</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Corporate investment game</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Multiple subgame-perfect Bayesian equilibria</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>25.SCREENING</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Introduction</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Self-selection</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Spence education game in reverse</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>Practice Exercises</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>APPENDICES</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>REFERENCES AND SUGGESTIONS FOR FURTHER READING</span></span>
<br>
<span><span>INDEX</span></span>
<br>
<span></span>
<span><span>Thomas J. Webster is a professor of economics in the Department of Finance and Economics of Pace University’s Lubin School of Business in New York City. Before joining the faculty at Pace University, Dr. Webster held positions as an international economist with the Central Intelligence Agency, the U.S. Department of Defense, Manufacturers Hanover Trust Company, and Continental Illinois National Bank and Trust Company. Dr. Webster has served as graduate and undergraduate finance program chair, and as faculty advisor to Beta Gamma Sigma, the international honor society for collegiate schools of business. He is the recipient of the Lubin School of Business Scholarly Research Award for Basic Scholarship, the Lubin School of Business Outstanding Faculty Service Award, the Pace University Award for Distinguished Service, and the Beta Gamma Sigma Commitment to Excellence Award. Dr. Webster received his BA from the School of International Service of American University, and his MA, MPhil, and PhD from the City University of New York.</span></span>
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